How to Overcome Analysis Paralysis When Making a Big Decision

How to stop overthinking big decisions, overcome analysis paralysis, and move forward when you’re afraid of making the wrong choice.

By
Josh Felgoise

The Office

There’s a point when thinking through a decision stops being helpful.

You’ve considered what happens if you say yes. You’ve considered what happens if you say no. You’ve imagined the best-case scenario, the worst-case scenario, and seventeen different versions of your life that may or may not exist six months from now.

And somehow, after all of that thinking, you know less about what you should do than when you started.

I’m there right now.

I have a decision in front of me that feels big. One option means taking a leap, changing some things and accepting a certain amount of uncertainty. The other means continuing down the path I’m already on.

The specifics aren't really important. What matters is what the decision has done to my brain.

One minute, I’m convinced I should do it. Five minutes later, I’ve developed an incredibly convincing argument for why I absolutely should not do it.

Then I reconsider that argument.

Then I reconsider the reconsideration.

Eventually, you reach the point where doing absolutely nothing starts sounding pretty appealing.

That’s analysis paralysis.

What Is Analysis Paralysis?

Analysis paralysis is essentially what happens when thinking about a decision becomes the thing preventing you from making the decision.

The Cleveland Clinic describes analysis paralysis as deliberating over a decision so much that you struggle to actually make a choice. Too many options, information overload, fear of failure and the pursuit of a perfect answer can all contribute to it.

Instead of information helping you move toward an answer, every new piece of information creates another question.

What if I regret doing this?

What if I regret not doing it?

What if I fail?

What if this opportunity never comes around again?

What if everything is actually going pretty well right now and I unnecessarily screw it up?

You can keep going forever.

And that's the problem.

There probably isn't some magical piece of information waiting around the corner that's suddenly going to make you 100 percent certain.

At some point, you have to make a decision without knowing exactly what happens next.

Why Big Decisions Feel So Overwhelming

I think part of the problem is that when we’re in the middle of a big decision, we start treating it like the decision.

Not one decision.

The decision that determines the trajectory of our entire lives.

I’ve caught myself doing exactly that.

If I choose this, then this could happen, which could cause this, which might eventually mean this.

Suddenly, I’m not deciding what I want to do next. I’m attempting to predict my entire future.

Of course that feels overwhelming.

I’ve written before about How Do I Stop Overthinking Before Something Big?, and one of the biggest traps is attaching permanent meaning to decisions that aren't necessarily permanent. One job, relationship, opportunity or decision doesn't have to determine everything that comes after it.

The reality is that very few decisions work like that.

You make a choice. Something happens. You learn something. You adjust. You make another choice.

Your life continues.

That doesn't mean big decisions aren't important. They are. It means we sometimes give them so much importance that we make ourselves incapable of actually deciding.

A coworker at my first job used to say, “This is PR, not the ER.”

I think about that all the time.

Whatever you're deciding might matter a lot to you, but most decisions aren't going to permanently destroy your life if you get them wrong.

Sometimes you need to remember that before you can actually think clearly.

Stop Looking for the Perfect Decision

This might be the hardest part.

I want there to be a correct answer.

I want to analyze the situation long enough that eventually one option reveals itself as objectively right and the other reveals itself as objectively wrong.

Most of the time, that doesn't happen.

There isn't a perfect career move.

There isn't a perfect moment to take a risk.

There isn't a perfect way to navigate a relationship.

There isn't a perfect timeline for your life.

Psychology Today describes how analysis paralysis can turn decisions into endless cycles of weighing options, imagining what could go wrong and trying to calculate every possible scenario.

At some point, you have to choose something and then decide what you're going to do with that choice.

That's an important distinction.

We spend so much energy asking:

What's the right decision?

Maybe the better question is:

What can I do with the decision I make?

Because you still have agency afterward.

You can adjust. You can change direction. You can learn. You can decide something isn't working. You can try something else.

A decision isn't necessarily a permanent declaration about what the rest of your life has to look like.

It's a starting point.

Ask What Your Future Self Would Want You to Do

One thing that has genuinely helped me is imagining myself a year from now looking back at the decision I'm making today.

I picture that version of myself talking to me right now.

What would he want me to know?

In my situation, I keep imagining him saying something along the lines of:

“I'm glad I at least tried because now I know what would've happened.”

That changes the question for me.

Instead of asking whether I can guarantee that everything will work out, I'm asking whether I'd rather have the experience of trying or spend the next year wondering what would've happened if I had.

Maybe your answer is different.

Maybe future you would be incredibly happy that you protected what you already had.

That's okay too.

The exercise isn't designed to force you toward taking the risk. It's designed to pull you out of the anxiety you're experiencing right now and give you another perspective.

Because when you're in the middle of analysis paralysis, everything feels immediate.

Future you gets to look at the bigger picture.

Give Yourself a Deadline

There is only so long you can productively think about something.

Eventually, you're not discovering anything new. You're just replaying the same arguments.

I've realized I need to give myself a deadline.

Maybe that's tomorrow.

Maybe it's two days.

Maybe your decision actually deserves a couple of weeks.

The amount of time isn't really the point. The point is establishing a moment when the analysis ends and the decision begins.

Otherwise, you can live in the middle indefinitely.

And the middle is exhausting.

You don't need another six hours to think about the same four things you've already thought about for three days.

Give yourself enough time to seriously consider the decision, then give yourself permission to actually make it.

Talk to Someone You Trust

This is probably one of the biggest things I’ve learned from being stuck in my own head.

Talk to people.

Talk to your close friends. Talk to your siblings. Talk to your parents. Talk to your girlfriend or boyfriend. Talk to whoever you trust enough to tell them what's actually going on.

You don't even need them to give you an answer.

Sometimes just saying the situation out loud changes how you understand it.

Instead of allowing everything to sit inside your head, you're forced to explain what you're actually worried about.

And you might hear yourself say something that makes you realize what you really want.

There is one caveat: don't ask 25 people.

If five people tell you five different things and you immediately start analyzing every person's opinion, congratulations, you've created an entirely new version of the exact problem you're trying to solve.

Pick a few people whose judgment you trust.

Listen to them.

Then remember that the decision is still yours.

Take One Small Step

Another reason big decisions become overwhelming is that we mentally attach every future step to the first one.

If I do this, then I'll have to do this, and then this will change, and then I'll have to figure out this other thing.

Stop.

You don't have to figure out step twelve before taking step one.

You just need to know the next move.

Take the meeting.

Send the email.

Have the conversation.

Apply for the job.

Go on the date.

Try the thing.

This is also why confidence tends to come from doing rather than endlessly preparing. In How to Build Confidence When You Feel Behind in Life, I talked about confidence as something you build through action, not something you have to magically feel before you start.

You can decide what comes after that once you actually get there.

There is no way to perfectly map out something you've never experienced before.

Sometimes the information you're desperately trying to think your way into only becomes available once you start moving.

Fear of Failure Is Probably Part of This

This is definitely part of mine.

One of the questions running through my head is: What if I do this and fail?

It's an uncomfortable question.

Fear of failure is also one of the factors the Psychology Today identifies as contributing to analysis paralysis. When you're focused on avoiding a negative outcome, staying exactly where you are can start to feel safer than choosing anything at all.

But I've started countering that fear with another question:

What if I never give myself the opportunity to find out?

If I try something and fail, at least I have information I didn't have before.

I know what happened.

I know what worked.

I know what didn't.

I know more about myself.

If I never try because I'm scared of failing, I don't get any of that. I just get the hypothetical version of the experience that lives in my head.

I've generally believed it's better to try than to live in the land of what if I tried?

That doesn't mean you should blindly take every risk that comes your way.

It means fear of failure probably shouldn't get the deciding vote.

And if you notice the same kind of overthinking showing up in other parts of your life, How to Stop Overthinking When You Really Like Someone gets into the same basic problem in dating: trying to create certainty when you simply don't have enough information yet.

And Here’s The Thing

I don't have some perfect formula for making big decisions.

I'm writing this from the messy middle of one.

I don't know exactly what I'm going to do yet.

And weirdly, I think that's the point.

We usually hear people's advice after everything worked out. They made the career change. They moved across the country. They started the company. They ended the relationship. They took the opportunity.

Then they look backward and construct a clean story about why it was obviously the right decision.

Real life doesn't usually feel that clean while you're living it.

Sometimes you're going back and forth.

Sometimes you're scared.

Sometimes you don't know.

What I'm trying to remember is that I don't need to know exactly where a decision will take me before I'm allowed to make it.

I can think about it. I can talk to people. I can give myself a deadline. I can listen to my gut. I can think about the person I want to be a year from now.

Then eventually, I have to choose.

And whatever happens next, I can figure it out from there.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is analysis paralysis?

Analysis paralysis happens when you overthink or analyze your options so much that making a decision becomes increasingly difficult. Instead of helping you choose, more thinking leaves you feeling stuck.

How do I stop overthinking a big decision?

Give yourself a reasonable deadline, narrow down your options, talk the decision through with a few people you trust and focus on the next step rather than trying to predict every possible outcome.

How do I know if I'm making the right decision?

Sometimes you can't know beforehand. Instead of searching indefinitely for a perfect choice, consider which option aligns with what you want, what your future self might value and what you're willing to learn from.

Why am I so afraid of making the wrong decision?

Big decisions often involve uncertainty, fear of failure and potential regret. When you try to eliminate all of that uncertainty before acting, you can end up stuck instead.

Is it better to take a risk or play it safe?

Neither is automatically right. The important question is why you're choosing one over the other. There's a difference between staying where you are because it's genuinely what you want and staying because you're afraid to find out what happens if you try.